Bracketology Projection
Projections based on a weighted composite of efficiency, resume, and quality wins.
Automatic bids awarded to the highest rated team in each conference.
Last 4 In
Baylor
B12
WAB: 0.20
Score: 67.7
Texas
SEC
WAB: -0.04
Score: 65.7
Virginia Tech
ACC
WAB: 0.38
Score: 65.7
Texas A&M
SEC
WAB: 0.49
Score: 64.1
First 4 Out
Iowa
B10
WAB: -0.65
Score: 61.8
Missouri
SEC
WAB: 0.99
Score: 57.3
UCLA
B10
WAB: 0.33
Score: 54.6
TCU
B12
WAB: -0.11
Score: 53.8
Next 4 Out
Indiana
B10
WAB: -0.23
Score: 52.8
San Diego St.
MWC
WAB: 0.53
Score: 52.3
Creighton
BE
WAB: -0.29
Score: 50.5
Washington
B10
WAB: -0.74
Score: 48.6
| Seed | Team | Bid | Conf | Score | WAB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Michigan | Auto | B10 | 213.92 | 5.10 |
| 1 | Arizona | Auto | B12 | 203.08 | 5.58 |
| 1 | Connecticut | Auto | BE | 198.79 | 6.25 |
| 1 | Duke | Auto | ACC | 192.61 | 5.67 |
| 2 | Nebraska | At-Large | B10 | 184.61 | 5.42 |
| 2 | Purdue | At-Large | B10 | 184.10 | 4.78 |
| 2 | Iowa St. | At-Large | B12 | 172.86 | 4.46 |
| 2 | Vanderbilt | Auto | SEC | 172.59 | 4.80 |
| 3 | Houston | At-Large | B12 | 169.35 | 4.22 |
| 3 | Gonzaga | Auto | WCC | 169.00 | 4.08 |
| 3 | BYU | At-Large | B12 | 167.04 | 4.31 |
| 3 | Illinois | At-Large | B10 | 164.60 | 3.69 |
| 4 | Michigan St. | At-Large | B10 | 153.30 | 3.68 |
| 4 | Virginia | At-Large | ACC | 143.46 | 3.00 |
| 4 | Kansas | At-Large | B12 | 133.38 | 2.58 |
| 4 | Florida | At-Large | SEC | 125.64 | 1.88 |
| 5 | Clemson | At-Large | ACC | 124.11 | 2.87 |
| 5 | Alabama | At-Large | SEC | 120.23 | 2.69 |
| 5 | Villanova | At-Large | BE | 117.33 | 2.61 |
| 5 | Texas Tech | At-Large | B12 | 114.16 | 2.66 |
| 6 | Utah St. | Auto | MWC | 107.21 | 2.51 |
| 6 | SMU | At-Large | ACC | 106.32 | 1.71 |
| 6 | Arkansas | At-Large | SEC | 103.52 | 2.23 |
| 6 | Saint Mary's | At-Large | WCC | 102.28 | 2.13 |
| 7 | Miami FL | At-Large | ACC | 101.66 | 2.12 |
| 7 | St. John's | At-Large | BE | 99.00 | 0.70 |
| 7 | North Carolina | At-Large | ACC | 98.53 | 2.06 |
| 7 | Tennessee | At-Large | SEC | 98.04 | 1.28 |
| 8 | Louisville | At-Large | ACC | 94.99 | 0.88 |
| 8 | UCF | At-Large | B12 | 94.66 | 2.29 |
| 8 | Seton Hall | At-Large | BE | 94.06 | 1.81 |
| 8 | N.C. State | At-Large | ACC | 90.33 | 0.29 |
| 9 | Saint Louis | Auto | A10 | 89.24 | 1.52 |
| 9 | Georgia | At-Large | SEC | 82.80 | 0.92 |
| 9 | Wisconsin | At-Large | B10 | 81.84 | 1.43 |
| 9 | New Mexico | At-Large | MWC | 75.66 | 0.95 |
| 10 | USC | At-Large | B10 | 74.08 | 2.14 |
| 10 | Ohio St. | At-Large | B10 | 74.07 | 0.18 |
| 10 | Kentucky | At-Large | SEC | 72.94 | 0.13 |
| 10 | Auburn | At-Large | SEC | 69.85 | 0.29 |
| 11 | Stanford | At-Large | ACC | 67.92 | 1.04 |
| 11 | Baylor | At-Large | B12 | 67.74 | 0.20 |
| 11 | Texas | At-Large | SEC | 65.68 | -0.04 |
| 11 | Virginia Tech | At-Large | ACC | 65.67 | 0.38 |
| 11 | Texas A&M | At-Large | SEC | 64.13 | 0.49 |
| 11 | Miami OH | Auto | MAC | 60.94 | 1.81 |
| 12 | McNeese | Auto | Slnd | 49.84 | 0.56 |
| 12 | Murray St. | Auto | MVC | 45.83 | 0.48 |
| 12 | South Florida | Auto | Amer | 29.41 | -1.34 |
| 12 | Liberty | Auto | CUSA | 28.23 | 0.04 |
| 13 | Hofstra | Auto | CAA | 19.97 | -0.53 |
| 13 | Yale | Auto | Ivy | 7.97 | -0.34 |
| 13 | Hawaii | Auto | BW | 5.89 | -1.46 |
| 13 | Utah Valley | Auto | WAC | 2.61 | -1.05 |
| 14 | St. Thomas | Auto | Sum | -12.25 | -1.30 |
| 14 | High Point | Auto | BSth | -16.66 | -2.17 |
| 14 | Portland St. | Auto | BSky | -30.10 | -2.17 |
| 14 | Mercer | Auto | SC | -30.38 | -2.69 |
| 15 | Marist | Auto | MAAC | -33.68 | -3.16 |
| 15 | Austin Peay | Auto | ASun | -37.88 | -2.43 |
| 15 | Tennessee Martin | Auto | OVC | -39.96 | -2.11 |
| 15 | Oakland | Auto | Horz | -41.39 | -2.73 |
| 16 | Troy | Auto | SB | -42.69 | -2.76 |
| 16 | LIU | Auto | NEC | -62.74 | -3.19 |
| 16 | Navy | Auto | PL | -71.87 | -3.79 |
| 16 | Vermont | Auto | AE | -98.61 | -5.04 |
| 16 | Bethune Cookman | Auto | SWAC | -136.36 | -5.08 |
| 16 | Howard | Auto | MEAC | -149.83 | -5.36 |