Bracketology Projection
Projections based on a weighted composite of efficiency, resume, and quality wins.
Automatic bids awarded to the highest rated team in each conference.
Last 4 In
TCU
B12
WAB: 0.07
Score: 156.6
Baylor
B12
WAB: 0.22
Score: 154.7
Stanford
ACC
WAB: 0.61
Score: 154.0
Texas A&M
SEC
WAB: 0.53
Score: 151.1
First 4 Out
Kentucky
SEC
WAB: -0.44
Score: 148.9
Creighton
BE
WAB: -0.20
Score: 148.1
Indiana
B10
WAB: -0.14
Score: 138.6
Butler
BE
WAB: -0.30
Score: 133.7
Next 4 Out
LSU
SEC
WAB: 0.22
Score: 129.6
Santa Clara
WCC
WAB: -0.13
Score: 127.9
Oklahoma St.
B12
WAB: 0.70
Score: 125.3
Washington
B10
WAB: -0.56
Score: 125.0
| Seed | Team | Bid | Conf | Score | WAB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Connecticut | Auto | BE | 433.01 | 6.28 |
| 1 | Michigan | Auto | B10 | 426.11 | 4.57 |
| 1 | Arizona | Auto | B12 | 417.29 | 5.40 |
| 1 | Vanderbilt | Auto | SEC | 398.98 | 5.29 |
| 2 | Nebraska | At-Large | B10 | 393.58 | 5.49 |
| 2 | Purdue | At-Large | B10 | 384.77 | 4.38 |
| 2 | Duke | Auto | ACC | 364.60 | 5.08 |
| 2 | Iowa St. | At-Large | B12 | 363.14 | 4.50 |
| 3 | Gonzaga | Auto | WCC | 357.11 | 4.07 |
| 3 | Houston | At-Large | B12 | 351.63 | 4.24 |
| 3 | BYU | At-Large | B12 | 333.00 | 3.99 |
| 3 | Michigan St. | At-Large | B10 | 331.61 | 3.74 |
| 4 | Illinois | At-Large | B10 | 318.19 | 3.17 |
| 4 | Virginia | At-Large | ACC | 306.70 | 3.01 |
| 4 | Kansas | At-Large | B12 | 295.14 | 2.56 |
| 4 | Clemson | At-Large | ACC | 293.07 | 3.02 |
| 5 | Alabama | At-Large | SEC | 285.82 | 2.77 |
| 5 | Florida | At-Large | SEC | 281.61 | 2.04 |
| 5 | Texas Tech | At-Large | B12 | 253.59 | 2.51 |
| 5 | Villanova | At-Large | BE | 251.58 | 2.71 |
| 6 | Utah St. | Auto | MWC | 233.36 | 2.37 |
| 6 | SMU | At-Large | ACC | 232.33 | 1.60 |
| 6 | North Carolina | At-Large | ACC | 225.49 | 2.60 |
| 6 | St. John's | At-Large | BE | 223.75 | 0.84 |
| 7 | Louisville | At-Large | ACC | 214.88 | 0.87 |
| 7 | Georgia | At-Large | SEC | 213.28 | 1.86 |
| 7 | Tennessee | At-Large | SEC | 212.45 | 1.20 |
| 7 | Saint Mary's | At-Large | WCC | 205.88 | 2.19 |
| 8 | N.C. State | At-Large | ACC | 205.46 | 0.23 |
| 8 | Arkansas | At-Large | SEC | 201.22 | 1.98 |
| 8 | Miami FL | At-Large | ACC | 199.43 | 2.13 |
| 8 | Seton Hall | At-Large | BE | 198.85 | 1.89 |
| 9 | Wisconsin | At-Large | B10 | 198.40 | 1.47 |
| 9 | UCF | At-Large | B12 | 195.90 | 1.91 |
| 9 | USC | At-Large | B10 | 193.02 | 2.15 |
| 9 | New Mexico | At-Large | MWC | 189.74 | 1.02 |
| 10 | Auburn | At-Large | SEC | 181.77 | 0.75 |
| 10 | Virginia Tech | At-Large | ACC | 177.12 | 0.75 |
| 10 | Ohio St. | At-Large | B10 | 170.39 | 0.20 |
| 10 | Saint Louis | Auto | A10 | 169.54 | 1.50 |
| 11 | Iowa | At-Large | B10 | 158.06 | -0.63 |
| 11 | TCU | At-Large | B12 | 156.58 | 0.07 |
| 11 | Baylor | At-Large | B12 | 154.69 | 0.22 |
| 11 | Stanford | At-Large | ACC | 153.98 | 0.61 |
| 11 | Texas A&M | At-Large | SEC | 151.06 | 0.53 |
| 11 | McNeese | Auto | Slnd | 126.95 | 0.73 |
| 12 | Miami OH | Auto | MAC | 126.76 | 1.90 |
| 12 | Murray St. | Auto | MVC | 121.12 | 0.73 |
| 12 | South Florida | Auto | Amer | 98.06 | -1.30 |
| 12 | Liberty | Auto | CUSA | 83.02 | 0.08 |
| 13 | Hofstra | Auto | CAA | 80.78 | -0.50 |
| 13 | Yale | Auto | Ivy | 51.68 | -0.19 |
| 13 | High Point | Auto | BSth | 32.92 | -1.40 |
| 13 | Utah Valley | Auto | WAC | 32.14 | -1.04 |
| 14 | Hawaii | Auto | BW | 26.45 | -1.45 |
| 14 | St. Thomas | Auto | Sum | 16.90 | -1.22 |
| 14 | East Tennessee St. | Auto | SC | 8.41 | -2.72 |
| 14 | Quinnipiac | Auto | MAAC | 5.27 | -1.42 |
| 15 | Portland St. | Auto | BSky | -6.29 | -2.11 |
| 15 | Troy | Auto | SB | -14.83 | -2.79 |
| 15 | Oakland | Auto | Horz | -28.74 | -2.66 |
| 15 | Tennessee Martin | Auto | OVC | -29.52 | -1.98 |
| 16 | Lipscomb | Auto | ASun | -35.73 | -2.64 |
| 16 | LIU | Auto | NEC | -65.49 | -3.04 |
| 16 | Navy | Auto | PL | -70.09 | -3.68 |
| 16 | Vermont | Auto | AE | -93.12 | -4.95 |
| 16 | Howard | Auto | MEAC | -127.75 | -5.32 |
| 16 | Bethune Cookman | Auto | SWAC | -137.47 | -5.03 |